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11 changes: 7 additions & 4 deletions EVIDENCE-ALIGNMENT.md
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -61,7 +61,7 @@ causal independence.
| LIR-3/PHEME | With 40% of exact parent-status IDs hidden but reply-target author retained, the frozen author-only rule achieved recorded-root precision, recall, and F1 of 1.0 with zero root-count error on 425 sealed cases. | Causal copying, evidence independence, author authentication, content truth, cross-platform generalization, or general provenance recovery. |
| LIR-4/PHEME | At 50% missing reply-target identity among hidden-edge records, precision remained 1.0 but recall fell to 0.4329, F1 to 0.6043, and root-count MAE rose to 2.405, rejecting graceful degradation. | General resistance to false identity or cross-root misbinding; only one final-holdout case had multiple roots, so the safety diagnostic was underpowered. |

## v1.0.6 manuscript alignment
## v1.0.7 manuscript alignment

The active manuscript corrects two inherited presentation defects without
altering earlier snapshots:
Expand All @@ -77,12 +77,15 @@ altering earlier snapshots:
supported typed-provenance bridge and the rejected degradation claim, while
preserving the distinction between recorded platform roots and causal
evidence independence.
- v1.0.7 adds a reader-first abstract, example, visual, boundary table, results
map, glossary, and selected primary-source links. It changes no theorem,
canonical status, result, limitation, or release blocker.

## Manuscript policy

- `papers/minority-prophet-v1.0.6.md` is the active evidence-aligned draft, adopted
2026-08-08.
- v0.9, v1.0, v1.0.1, v1.0.2, v1.0.3, v1.0.4, and v1.0.5 are preserved historical drafts and defer to
- `papers/minority-prophet-v1.0.7.md` is the active evidence-aligned draft, adopted
2026-08-09.
- v0.9, v1.0, v1.0.1, v1.0.2, v1.0.3, v1.0.4, v1.0.5, and v1.0.6 are preserved historical drafts and defer to
this ledger.
- EXP008's archived attack mixture is not EXP007A's selected attack.
- All point estimates must name their record and scope.
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5 changes: 4 additions & 1 deletion app/page.tsx
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Expand Up @@ -4,6 +4,8 @@ import { useMemo, useState } from "react";

type ClaimKind = "independent" | "copied" | "contradiction";

const paperUrl = "https://github.com/Silentpartnercoding/minority-prophet/blob/main/papers/minority-prophet-v1.0.7.md";

const claims: { id: string; agent: string; belief: string; confidence: number; kind: ClaimKind; source: string }[] = [
{ id: "C-003", agent: "Observer 03", belief: "TRUE", confidence: 98, kind: "independent", source: "Instrument C" },
{ id: "C-002", agent: "Observer 02", belief: "TRUE", confidence: 96, kind: "independent", source: "Instrument B" },
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -38,6 +40,7 @@ export default function Home() {
<span>MINORITY PROPHET <small>RESEARCH PROGRAM</small></span>
</a>
<div className="navlinks">
<a href={paperUrl}>Paper</a>
<a href="#benchmark">Benchmark</a>
<a href="#dashboard">Dashboard</a>
<a href="#boundary">Boundary</a>
Expand All @@ -53,7 +56,7 @@ export default function Home() {
<p className="lede">A focused benchmark testing whether aggregation methods can recover independently grounded truth under overwhelming copying pressure.</p>
<div className="hero-actions">
<a className="button primary" href="#dashboard">Explore the test <span>↓</span></a>
<a className="button secondary" href="#foundations">Read foundations <span>→</span></a>
<a className="button secondary" href={paperUrl}>Read the paper <span>→</span></a>
</div>
</div>
<div className="hero-visual" aria-label="Three independent true observations opposed by ninety-five copied false claims">
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2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion papers/00-CURRENT-PAPER.md
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Expand Up @@ -2,7 +2,7 @@

The current evidence-aligned pre-submission manuscript is:

**[The Minority Prophet Property — v1.0.6](./minority-prophet-v1.0.6.md)**
**[The Minority Prophet Property — v1.0.7](./minority-prophet-v1.0.7.md)**

Earlier versions are preserved as historical records. Their filenames and text
are not silently rewritten; the current manuscript, canonical record registry,
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5 changes: 3 additions & 2 deletions papers/README.md
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@@ -1,10 +1,11 @@
# Papers

Start with **[the current paper](./minority-prophet-v1.0.6.md)**.
Start with **[the current paper](./minority-prophet-v1.0.7.md)**.

| File | Status |
| --- | --- |
| [`minority-prophet-v1.0.6.md`](./minority-prophet-v1.0.6.md) | Current evidence-aligned pre-submission manuscript; closes LIR-1–LIR-4 |
| [`minority-prophet-v1.0.7.md`](./minority-prophet-v1.0.7.md) | Current reader-first, evidence-aligned pre-submission manuscript |
| [`minority-prophet-v1.0.6.md`](./minority-prophet-v1.0.6.md) | Preserved prior snapshot; closes LIR-1–LIR-4 |
| [`minority-prophet-v1.0.5.md`](./minority-prophet-v1.0.5.md) | Preserved prior snapshot |
| [`minority-prophet-v1.0.4.md`](./minority-prophet-v1.0.4.md) | Preserved prior snapshot |
| [`minority-prophet-v1.0.3.md`](./minority-prophet-v1.0.3.md) | Preserved historical snapshot |
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