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double-moving-average

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Time series forecasting analysis comparing Double Moving Average, Holt's Double Exponential Smoothing, and Linear Trend Model on 252 daily SPY ETF observations (Jan–Dec 2024). Selected optimal model using MSE — DMA: 7.73, Holt's: 18.44, Linear: 93.76 — generating a validated 5-day forward forecast indicating short-term market stabilisation.

  • Updated Apr 20, 2026
  • R

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