Publish the phase-one frontier panel

[nedcut]

Outcome

Publishes the frozen phase-one public panel with eight strict sota-v2 rows, clearing the predeclared 8-model publication floor.

• adds eight compact, raw-hash-linked headline artifacts
• adds the generated seed-paired analysis with full-family Holm adjustment and uncertainty tiers
• retains Mistral Medium 3.5 as a compact diagnostic
• regenerates the public site data (8/8, publication gate open)
• updates the results snapshot and readiness checklist
• strips machine-local baseline-cache paths during compaction

Interpretation

All eight eligible rows form one overlapping uncertainty tier; this is not evidence for an ordinal model ranking. Every eligible model trails pick-trader. Grok 4.5 and Mistral Medium 3.5 completed but are excluded from the headline table for incomplete usage/cost coverage. Grok's full raw diagnostic and all public raw traces remain outside git pending release-asset packaging.

Verification

• all 8 headline artifacts pass validate-result --policy sota-v2
• Mistral diagnostic passes public-leaderboard but is excluded by the stricter cost-completeness gate
• offline panel analysis returns exactly 8 eligible rows
• generated site gate: eligible_headline_models=8, minimum_headline_models=8, publishable_ranking=true, panel_analysis_ready=true
• python3 -m pytest -q (469 passed)
• Ruff format/lint and contract canaries pass
• web lint and production build pass
• compact artifacts contain no credentials or machine-specific paths

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Review details

⚙️ Run configuration

Configuration used: defaults

Review profile: CHILL

Plan: Pro Plus

Run ID: 00fc3f49-7afb-4f0b-b186-7e8fb7aac7e0

📥 Commits

Reviewing files that changed from the base of the PR and between 5264fd1 and 54bb36c.

📒 Files selected for processing (15)

• docs/PUBLISH_READINESS.md
• gm_bench/publication.py
• results/analysis/publication-panel-analysis.json
• results/benchmark_results.md
• results/diagnostics/openrouter-mistral-medium-3.5-mistral.json
• results/leaderboard/openrouter-claude-sonnet-5-bedrock.json
• results/leaderboard/openrouter-gemini-3.5-flash-google-ai-studio.json
• results/leaderboard/openrouter-glm-5.2-novita.json
• results/leaderboard/openrouter-gpt-5.6-luna-openai.json
• results/leaderboard/openrouter-minimax-m3-minimax.json
• results/leaderboard/openrouter-muse-spark-1.1-meta.json
• results/leaderboard/openrouter-qwen3.7-plus-alibaba.json
• results/leaderboard/openrouter-tencent-hy3-free-novita.json
• tests/test_publication.py
• web/src/data/leaderboard.json

✨ Finishing Touches

🧪 Generate unit tests (beta)

• Create PR with unit tests
• Commit unit tests in branch codex/publish-frontier-panel

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