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Sales Forecasting Project

📌 Overview

This project focuses on forecasting future sales using historical time series data.

🎯 Objective

To analyze sales trends and build a forecasting model that predicts future sales performance.

🛠️ Tools & Technologies

  • Python (Pandas, NumPy)
  • Matplotlib
  • Statsmodels (Exponential Smoothing)
  • Jupyter Notebook

📊 Key Steps

  1. Data Preparation
  2. Time Series Analysis
  3. Trend and Seasonality Identification
  4. Model Building (Exponential Smoothing)
  5. Model Evaluation (MAE, RMSE)
  6. Future Forecasting

📈 Results

  • MAE: ~86.6
  • RMSE: ~93.8
  • Model successfully captured trend and seasonal patterns

🧠 Key Insights

  • Sales show a clear upward trend over time
  • Seasonal patterns are present in the data
  • Forecasting can support planning and decision-making

🚀 Future Improvements

  • Try ARIMA or Prophet models
  • Include external variables (e.g., promotions, holidays)
  • Improve accuracy with feature engineering

📁 Project Structure

sales-forecasting/
├── data/
├── notebooks/
├── src/
└── requirements.txt

👤 Author

Hamzat Afe Isede

🔗 Related Projects

  • Customer Churn Prediction
  • Customer Segmentation
  • Sales Dashboard (Power BI)

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This project uses historical sales data to forecast future sales.

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