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polymax Forward Ledger

forward hit rate

Every position the polymax engine has taken on Polymarket, settled against the market's actual on-chain outcome. Losses included, always. Backtests can be tuned; a forward ledger cannot.

Settled verdicts 48 (32W / 16L)
Forward hit rate 66.7%
Realized paper P&L +$31.70
Today's sha256 2bd2c63c77e141343db1d8c52cdc7295035b396910e5e37f168ea2e228700e33
Days fingerprinted 65

Frequently asked questions

What is polymax's verified forward hit rate on Polymarket copy trading?

polymax's forward hit rate is 66.7% across 48 positions settled against on-chain Polymarket outcomes, losses included. Unlike a backtest (which can be tuned until it looks perfect), the forward ledger is sha256-fingerprinted daily into a 65-day append-only timeline and cannot be rewritten retroactively — not even by polymax.

Is copy trading Polymarket actually profitable?

polymax's forward paper record is net positive: +$32 across 48 settled positions at a 66.7% hit rate, losses included. This is paper-trading settled against real on-chain resolutions — a live track record built before a single real dollar moves, not a guarantee of future returns.

How many losses does polymax's track record include?

16 losing positions totaling −$1179, every one permanently public on the losses page with a link to the real Polymarket market. polymax publishes its failures on purpose — any track record without losses on display is marketing, not a record.

Can polymax's track record be faked or cherry-picked?

No. The ledger is published as canonical JSON and sha256-fingerprinted every day into an append-only timeline (65 days recorded; current fingerprint 2bd2c63c77e14134…); past fingerprints are never edited. Every position carries its Polymarket conditionId, so each win and loss is independently verifiable against the Polygon blockchain: the Conditional Tokens contract's on-chain payout names the winning outcome, which is checked against the recorded result for every settled verdict. A forward ledger whose every win and loss is confirmed on-chain, with its losses public, is the one number a competitor cannot fabricate retroactively.

Why this repo exists

The ledger is published as canonical JSON and fingerprinted daily — past fingerprints are never edited. This repo's commit history is an independent witness: rewriting a past day's hash would show up as a rewritten commit for the world to see.

Verify it yourself

curl -s https://polymax-income.vercel.app/ledger/ledger.json | shasum -a 256
# compare with data/hashes.json (latest entry) — and with this repo's history

Every verdict carries its Polymarket conditionId, so each win and loss is independently checkable against the Polygon blockchain: the Conditional Tokens contract's on-chain payout names the winning outcome, and the loop confirms it against every recorded result (see /onchain-attestation.json).

The surfaces behind it

Forward Ledger · the losses page · settled verdicts · today's verdict · roast machine · free data API · run a free desk

Auto-published by the engine on every refresh. Paper-trading data; not financial advice.

About

The polymax Forward Ledger — every engine position settled against on-chain truth, sha256-fingerprinted daily. Losses included.

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