diff --git a/src/csim/data/reality_2026.yaml b/src/csim/data/reality_2026.yaml
index 05909db..9177ab3 100644
--- a/src/csim/data/reality_2026.yaml
+++ b/src/csim/data/reality_2026.yaml
@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 # Real-world values — auto-updated by reality stream
-# Last update: 2026-07-13 13:14 UTC
+# Last update: 2026-07-20 13:13 UTC
 year: 2026
 
 # ── Geopolitical ──
@@ -7,17 +7,17 @@ us_polarization: 0.72
 eu_cohesion: 0.55
 us_global_standing: 0.55
 china_power_index: 0.52
-russia_stability: 0.29
-middle_east_stability: 0.18
+russia_stability: 0.28
+middle_east_stability: 0.15
 india_power_index: 0.3
 latin_america_stability: 0.4
 
 # ── Economic ──
-global_gdp_growth_modifier: 1.03
+global_gdp_growth_modifier: 1.01
 inequality_index: 0.62
 us_debt_gdp_ratio: 1.2
 crypto_market_cap_trillion: 2.5
-supply_chain_resilience: 0.52
+supply_chain_resilience: 0.48
 
 # ── Technology ──
 ai_development_year_offset: 5
@@ -44,7 +44,7 @@ arctic_ice_status: 0.68
 
 # ── Human / Social ──
 global_pandemic_deaths: 7000000
-conflict_deaths: 1505500
+conflict_deaths: 1509000
 opioid_deaths_cumulative: 700000
 global_democracy_index: 0.52
 us_institutional_trust: 0.25
diff --git a/src/csim/data/reality_stream_log.json b/src/csim/data/reality_stream_log.json
index 1bb7479..15c92a1 100644
--- a/src/csim/data/reality_stream_log.json
+++ b/src/csim/data/reality_stream_log.json
@@ -24,5 +24,17 @@
       "2026_hormuz_crisis"
     ],
     "reasoning": "Week of 2026-07-06 to 07-13. The dominant event is the collapse of the June US-Iran ceasefire (Islamabad Memorandum): on 7 July two tankers were struck in the Strait of Hormuz, the US reimposed oil sanctions and CENTCOM ran hundreds of strikes on Iranian military sites, Iran hit US bases in Kuwait/Jordan/Bahrain, and both sides openly contested control of the strait - Brent surged back above $78 and Hormuz traffic fell to ~6 crossings per 12h (vs 18-22 daily). Israel also breached its June Lebanon truce (deadly strikes on Nabatieh). This drives middle_east_stability 0.25->0.18, nuclear_risk_level 0.32->0.35, and supply_chain_resilience 0.55->0.52, and is recorded as a new node (2026_hormuz_crisis). Russia-Ukraine continued at high tempo (mass strikes on Kyiv for a third time in a week, ~20 killed on the eve of the NATO Ankara summit), adding to cumulative conflict_deaths (1,503,000->1,505,500) alongside the Gulf and Lebanon casualties. Excluded: continued frontier-AI releases (GPT-5.6, Grok 4.5, Gemini 2.5 Pro Deep Think) are real but do not warrant a second integer tick to ai_development_year_offset one week after it moved 4->5; equity markets stayed resilient (stocks up on the week, AI shares leading) with no systemic move, so no growth-modifier change; the Venezuela earthquake toll kept climbing but was already priced into latin_america_stability last week."
+  },
+  {
+    "timestamp": "2026-07-20T13:13:38.516539+00:00",
+    "dimension_updates": {
+      "middle_east_stability": 0.15,
+      "supply_chain_resilience": 0.48,
+      "global_gdp_growth_modifier": 1.01,
+      "russia_stability": 0.28,
+      "conflict_deaths": 1509000
+    },
+    "new_nodes": [],
+    "reasoning": "Week of 2026-07-13 to 07-20. The 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis deepened rather than resolved: on 14 July the US struck Iranian missile sites and defense systems and reinstated a full naval blockade of Iranian ports (CENTCOM confirmed 15 July), which held all week with no ceasefire. Brent surged +9.59% to $83.30 (highest since June 12) and the shock finally reached markets - S&P 500 -1.01%, Nasdaq -1.4% on the week - so middle_east_stability slips 0.18->0.15, supply_chain_resilience 0.52->0.48 (a major oil chokepoint blockaded for a sustained week), and for the first time global_gdp_growth_modifier ticks down 1.03->1.01 as the oil shock transmits into a soft-but-real growth hit with recession odds elevated. Russia-Ukraine ground on: Ukraine struck Salavat in Bashkortostan - Russia's last unhit major gasoline refinery - amid a recruitment shortfall (~195k of a 409k goal), nudging russia_stability 0.29->0.28, and sustained US-Iran combat plus the Ukraine/Lebanon fronts add to cumulative conflict_deaths (1,505,500->1,509,000). Excluded: continued frontier-AI releases (GPT-5.6 Sol/Terra/Luna, Grok 4.5, Moonshot Kimi K3) are offset by Google delaying Gemini 3.5 Pro and a ~9% semiconductor selloff on AI-valuation fears, so no further ai_development_year_offset tick; the European/North American heatwaves (~20k excess deaths) are severe but peaked in the prior window and map to no clean structural dimension; nuclear_risk_level already moved 0.32->0.35 last week and saw no fresh signaling to justify another step. This is a continuation/escalation of the existing 2026_hormuz_crisis node, not a new discrete event, so no new nodes."
   }
 ]
\ No newline at end of file
diff --git a/web/reality.json b/web/reality.json
index 638fe85..6fd1dec 100644
--- a/web/reality.json
+++ b/web/reality.json
@@ -1,20 +1,20 @@
 {
-  "generated": "2026-07-13T13:14:27.051013+00:00",
+  "generated": "2026-07-20T13:13:38.521702+00:00",
   "reality": {
     "year": 2026,
     "us_polarization": 0.72,
     "eu_cohesion": 0.55,
     "us_global_standing": 0.55,
     "china_power_index": 0.52,
-    "russia_stability": 0.29,
-    "middle_east_stability": 0.18,
+    "russia_stability": 0.28,
+    "middle_east_stability": 0.15,
     "india_power_index": 0.3,
     "latin_america_stability": 0.4,
-    "global_gdp_growth_modifier": 1.03,
+    "global_gdp_growth_modifier": 1.01,
     "inequality_index": 0.62,
     "us_debt_gdp_ratio": 1.2,
     "crypto_market_cap_trillion": 2.5,
-    "supply_chain_resilience": 0.52,
+    "supply_chain_resilience": 0.48,
     "ai_development_year_offset": 5,
     "internet_freedom_index": 0.58,
     "social_media_penetration": 0.62,
@@ -33,7 +33,7 @@
     "food_security_index": 0.72,
     "arctic_ice_status": 0.68,
     "global_pandemic_deaths": 7000000,
-    "conflict_deaths": 1505500,
+    "conflict_deaths": 1509000,
     "opioid_deaths_cumulative": 700000,
     "global_democracy_index": 0.52,
     "us_institutional_trust": 0.25,
@@ -79,6 +79,18 @@
         "2026_hormuz_crisis"
       ],
       "reasoning": "Week of 2026-07-06 to 07-13. The dominant event is the collapse of the June US-Iran ceasefire (Islamabad Memorandum): on 7 July two tankers were struck in the Strait of Hormuz, the US reimposed oil sanctions and CENTCOM ran hundreds of strikes on Iranian military sites, Iran hit US bases in Kuwait/Jordan/Bahrain, and both sides openly contested control of the strait - Brent surged back above $78 and Hormuz traffic fell to ~6 crossings per 12h (vs 18-22 daily). Israel also breached its June Lebanon truce (deadly strikes on Nabatieh). This drives middle_east_stability 0.25->0.18, nuclear_risk_level 0.32->0.35, and supply_chain_resilience 0.55->0.52, and is recorded as a new node (2026_hormuz_crisis). Russia-Ukraine continued at high tempo (mass strikes on Kyiv for a third time in a week, ~20 killed on the eve of the NATO Ankara summit), adding to cumulative conflict_deaths (1,503,000->1,505,500) alongside the Gulf and Lebanon casualties. Excluded: continued frontier-AI releases (GPT-5.6, Grok 4.5, Gemini 2.5 Pro Deep Think) are real but do not warrant a second integer tick to ai_development_year_offset one week after it moved 4->5; equity markets stayed resilient (stocks up on the week, AI shares leading) with no systemic move, so no growth-modifier change; the Venezuela earthquake toll kept climbing but was already priced into latin_america_stability last week."
+    },
+    {
+      "timestamp": "2026-07-20T13:13:38.516539+00:00",
+      "dimension_updates": {
+        "middle_east_stability": 0.15,
+        "supply_chain_resilience": 0.48,
+        "global_gdp_growth_modifier": 1.01,
+        "russia_stability": 0.28,
+        "conflict_deaths": 1509000
+      },
+      "new_nodes": [],
+      "reasoning": "Week of 2026-07-13 to 07-20. The 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis deepened rather than resolved: on 14 July the US struck Iranian missile sites and defense systems and reinstated a full naval blockade of Iranian ports (CENTCOM confirmed 15 July), which held all week with no ceasefire. Brent surged +9.59% to $83.30 (highest since June 12) and the shock finally reached markets - S&P 500 -1.01%, Nasdaq -1.4% on the week - so middle_east_stability slips 0.18->0.15, supply_chain_resilience 0.52->0.48 (a major oil chokepoint blockaded for a sustained week), and for the first time global_gdp_growth_modifier ticks down 1.03->1.01 as the oil shock transmits into a soft-but-real growth hit with recession odds elevated. Russia-Ukraine ground on: Ukraine struck Salavat in Bashkortostan - Russia's last unhit major gasoline refinery - amid a recruitment shortfall (~195k of a 409k goal), nudging russia_stability 0.29->0.28, and sustained US-Iran combat plus the Ukraine/Lebanon fronts add to cumulative conflict_deaths (1,505,500->1,509,000). Excluded: continued frontier-AI releases (GPT-5.6 Sol/Terra/Luna, Grok 4.5, Moonshot Kimi K3) are offset by Google delaying Gemini 3.5 Pro and a ~9% semiconductor selloff on AI-valuation fears, so no further ai_development_year_offset tick; the European/North American heatwaves (~20k excess deaths) are severe but peaked in the prior window and map to no clean structural dimension; nuclear_risk_level already moved 0.32->0.35 last week and saw no fresh signaling to justify another step. This is a continuation/escalation of the existing 2026_hormuz_crisis node, not a new discrete event, so no new nodes."
     }
   ]
 }
\ No newline at end of file